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February 5, 2004: Before the withdrawal from Lebanon, the Intelligence
Directorate also threatened us with Katyushas reaching Hadera and we
see what actually happened. I estimate, and my estimate is just as
valid as those that threaten us with horrors, that after we leave the
Gaza Strip, terrorism will decrease, not increase. (Former Mossad
Head, Labor MK Dani Yatom)
June 20, 2006: When asked about the nonstop barrage of Kassam
rockets hitting Sderot every day, turning Sderot into the Negev's
Stalingrad, emptying it of its low-income population who flee as
refugees, Shimon Peres replied: "Kassams? Shmassams!!" (Maariv
headline)
July 12, 2006: Today's murders and kidnappings of Israeli
soldiers are a direct result of Ehud Barak's cowardly abandonment of
Israeli positions in southern Lebanon. But, even more so, they are the
direct result of arguably the stupidest state decision Israel ever
made, the decision two and a half years ago to release hundreds of
terrorists and murderers in exchange for a single common criminal and
bodies of three murdered soldiers, while never avenging the murders of
those three soldiers (one of them a Bedouin by the way). (Steven Plaut)
July 13, 2006: That boom you just heard was a katyusha rocket
hitting Haifa a couple of miles from my house. (Steven Plaut)
July 13, 2006: Meretz faction chairman Yossi Beilin backed the
military operation but asked Peretz to keep the operation's end
objective in mind. "An attack on Hizbullah is justified, but in the
end we will have to come to an understanding, including one with
Syria," he said. "Release of prisoners also needs to be one of the
outcomes of these understandings," he added. [Translation: stop the
rockets by turning the Golan Heights over to Syria] (Jpost.com, July
13, 2006)
July 16, 2006:
Haifa Lefties believed they were protected due to their progressive
image, their obsession with recreational compassion and
environmentalism, and their Leftist solidarity with Arabs. They were
sure that the wave of Arab atrocities in which Israel is being bathed
would pass over them, like a Palestinian angel of death in a parody of
the story of the Exodus. (Steven Plaut)
August 9, 2006: For the past 14 years, Israel has invested all of its energy in
pursuit of make-pretend peace. Now the Olmert government has at last
changed direction. The Olmert government is, instead, conducting a
make-pretend war. (Steven Plaut)
August 17, 2006: Defense Minister Peretz Claims the Army did Not warn
Him there were Missiles and Rockets in Lebanon! (Haaretz banner)
People have very short memories. Most Israelis do not recall the events that have led up to the rain of Katyushas and other missiles upon Israeli civilians these past few weeks.
Civil war broke out in Lebanon in 1975, with Palestinian Arabs and pro-Palestinian Lebanese militias fighting Lebanon's Christian militias. The war continued for many years, ending officially in 1990.
In June 1982, Israel invaded Lebanon after a long wave of terror attacks on Israel. By then, Yasser Arafat, the leader of the PLO, had been in Beirut for over a decade. (At one point, Israeli snipers had Arafat in their sites. Ariel Sharon ordered the snipers to let him go unharmed.) Their original aim was to wipe out Palestinian guerrilla bases near Israel's northern border. The announced Israeli goal was to advance 40 kilometers inside Lebanon and so drive all the rocket shooters from range of Israel. At first the operation, called "Peace for Galilee," enjoyed over 90% support from the Israeli public, including Israeli Arabs.
The army actually advanced more than 40 kilometers. It eventually took most of Beirut and Israel attempted to install a friendly government in Lebanon, composed mainly of Lebanese Christians. Following the assassination of the head of the main Christian militia, the Falange, Christian militia members, infiltrated two Palestinian camps in the suburbs of Beirut, Sabra and Shatilla, and murdered about 400 civilians in retaliation. The Bash-Israel forces blamed Israel for that, for a massacre perpetrated by Christian Lebanese Arabs against Palestinian Arabs. Under American pressure, in the summer of 1983, Israel agreed to a ceasefire and then to let Arafat and his terrorists be "evacuated" on American ships to Tunisia. There they languished until Yitzhak Rabin and Shimon Peres invited them to "return" to the West Bank and resume terror activities there, after 1993.
The initial nucleus of the Lebanese Hezballah -- the "Party of God" -- was a several hundred-man group made up of military men and religious teachers sent by Ayatollah Khomeini to the Beqaa Valley of Lebanon in 1982. They were members of his Revolutionary Guard and imbued with his vision of expanding the revolution. Their real purpose was to take over southern Lebanon. Their excuse was that they had come to aid the Lebanese Shi'ite poor. Under cover of providing charity, they built an increasingly large semi-secret army. Ayatollah Khomeini was then ruler of Iran, and taught that the West is the Great Satan and Israel the Little Satan. Hezbollah expanded and developed a strong organization with financial and weapons support from Iran and Syria. Its popularity increased following a string of suicide bombings it launched from Spring 1983 to Summer 1985, when Hezbollah officially announced itself in a letter to a Lebanese paper.
In October 1983, while US forces were on the ground in Beirut, the Hezbollah bombed a US army barracks and murdered over 200 GIs. US battleships then bombed Hezbollah villages from the sea in retaliation. Yes, ships of the same US that always wants Israel to exercise restraint and avoid bombing areas that contain civilians.
Meanwhile, Israeli casualties mounted in Lebanon. Because of the unexpectedly large number even in the initial fighting, greater than the number in the Six Day War, public opinion began to turn against the government. Support dropped as further deaths of troops were caused by terrorist attrition.
The Israeli Left underwent a process of radicalization that has been compared by many to that of the American Left during the Vietnam war. Leftists, led by the Meretz chiefs Shulamit Aloni and Yossi Sarid, led protests denouncing the Begin-Sharon government of being war criminals and fascists. These were the same people who later would demand that Right-wing Jews be indicted for "incitement" for using harsh rhetoric. A large demonstration against the war was held in Tel Aviv, and the media fabricated an imaginary number of 400,000 participants, a number that has assumed mystical power and has been sanctified by Israel's leftist media.
What had began as mere disagreement by the Israeli Left over tactical decisions in what had been regarded as an essentially just war quickly morphed into an outburst of openly anti-Israel extremism in the Left. The Labor Party joined in, seeing this as a way of overturning the Israeli election and knocking the Likud government out of power. Meanwhile, an official state commission of inquiry was set up and later found that, while Israel had nothing to do with the Sabra and Shatilla massacres, Ariel Sharon was still indirectly to blame for not having had the prescience to see what the Falangists would do after their leader was assassinated by Palestinians. None of the judges on that commission and none of the leftist journalists trying to demonize Sharon had had the prescience to see what the Falange would do either, and none of THEM had issued any warnings before the massacres.
Meanwhile, Israel eventually moved its forces back from Beirut and set up a "Southern Lebanese Army," allied to Israel and financed by Israel, manned by Christians and moderate Shi'ites in southern Lebanon. As the Hezbollah and some other forces grew stronger inside Lebanon, with Syrian and Iranian support, Israeli troops came increasingly under attack by bombers and snipers. Israel instituted a series of "controlled carnage" agreements with the terrorists, under which Israel agreed that as long as the attacks on Israel were "within reason", Israel would turn the other cheek. The attacks did not remain within reason, and the terrorists frequently bombed the northern Galilee. Israel occasionally responded with brief retaliatory raids, but basically pursued cheek-turning as its defense policy. Public frustration grew with the toll of soldiers.
While Israel probably could have stopped the attrition attacks against its troops in southern Lebanon by exercising serious military initiative against the terrorists and their base villages, it did not. The casualty toll continued to rise. Israeli public opinion, most as shortsighted as the politicians, began demanding a unilateral withdrawal to stop the killings of soldiers. A "peace" movement calling itself Four Mothers led the pressures for capitulation. One of the Four Mothers was in fact a leftist pro-Saddam Jewish father, who ran a pro-Saddam anti-America organization in Israel. They succeeded. Israel's government made a choice. Instead of Israeli soldiers inside fortresses in Lebanon being targeted by terrorists, Israeli children in Nahariya and Safed would be the targets for rockets filled with thousands of lead pellets to maximize civilian carnage.
Ehud Barak implemented a cowardly unilateral withdrawal of all Israeli troops in Lebanon in the summer of 2000. As part of that, he abandoned the militia men from the Southern Lebanese Army and their families to the mercies of the Hezbollah and many were murdered. Some were granted asylum inside Israel, although Israeli leftists demanded that these "collaborators" be treated as criminals, because they had been "traitors to their own people". When they were integrated into Israeli Arab towns, the Israeli Arabs beat and terrorized them, to the cheers of Israeli Jewish leftists. Israel's entire intelligence and informant network inside Lebanon was lost as a result of the withdrawal and the betrayal of the SLA.
Barak's withdrawal took place under fire, with the Hezbollah and others shooting at the retreating Israeli troops to demonstrate their contempt, and to show the world that the Jews were successfully being driven out by terrorism. Barak had no problem with that show or weakness. The withdrawal was so panicked that Israeli computers with sensitive information were left behind, as were crates of Bibles.
Ehud Barak's capitulation in Lebanon in 2000 was a parody of Dunkirk. Israel had agreed to a capitulation in exchange for nothing. The Hezbollah continued to shell northern Israel after the withdrawal and sometimes sent in infiltrators who murdered and kidnapped. Overall, however, the death toll was below what it had been when Israeli troops were inside Lebanon. The Israeli chattering classes saw that as a great victory and as a precedent for solving the problems of the Gaza Strip and West Bank. All Israel needed to do was have a unilateral withdrawal and build a nice fence.
The supposed success of the Lebanese capitulation was also the official theology behind Israel's security fence in the West Bank. The security fence along the Lebanese border was thought to have demonstrated that all Israel now needed to do with Gaza and the West bank was get itself out and build similar fences, replete with all manner of electronic gizmos, just as it had done along the Lebanese border. After all, the politicians kept chanting, once there were no Israeli troops in "Arab lands," the Arab side would have no reason to engage in terror and military aggression against Israel.
This writer, like many others, predicted for years that northern Israel would be attacked by masses of missiles and that Israel would be forced to invade and re-conquer south Lebanon, at a large cost in Israeli lives, to drive out the terrorists Barak had installed there.
I also warned that when that happened, no southern Lebanese Christian or Muslim, remembering how Israel had betrayed the SLA, would believe any promises made by Israeli leaders. As a result, Israel would have trouble finding local allies and informants.
Because of 9-11, the showdown was delayed. The US was on the war path and Syria wanted to keep a low profile. After the liberation of Iraq, Syria, while controlling the Hezbollah, was trembling in fear, with NATO troops on its northern and eastern borders, and with pro-US regimes to its south. Syria was suddenly surrounded. It kept the Hezbollah heeled, for the moment.
Meanwhile, Syria was partly forced out of Lebanon by US pressure, and the Hezbollah replaced it with Iran as its arms supplier and patron. When the Hezbollah infiltrated Israel and murdered three IDF troops, Israel did nothing. It turned the other cheek. Just a bit more "controlled carnage." In fact, Israel "bought" the bodies of the three back, plus an abducted Israeli criminal being held in Lebanon, in exchange for releasing 450 murderers. It never avenged their murders.
And that was all it took. The Hezbollah had its proof. The Jews had lost their stomach for fighting, were on the run, were pursuing peace through appeasement and surrender. There was no reason to put off the showdown any longer.
As a direct result of the cowardice and shortsightedness of Ehud Barak and the Israeli chattering classes in 2000 who cheered and supported him, hundreds of rockets and missiles have bathed northern Israel in the past few days. Haifa has been turned into the Sderot of the North. Nahariya has become the new Stalingrad.
Remember UNIFIL? On 15 March 1978, the Lebanese Government submitted a "protest" to the Security Council against an Israeli incursion, stating that it had no connection with Palestinian terrorist operations. On 19 March, the Council adopted resolutions 425 (1978) and 426 (1978), in which it called upon Israel immediately to cease its military action and withdraw its forces from all Lebanese territory. It also decided on the immediate establishment of the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL). The first UNIFIL troops arrived in the area on 23 March 1978. Incompetents from the Third World mostly, they have been there ever since. They have done absolutely nothing to stop any terror attacks on Israel nor to prevent all of south Lebanon being converted into the Hezbollah's launch pad.
To sum up: UN already is there, has oodles of troops there, and they have yet to stop a single rock being thrown at Israel, let alone a katyusha missile! Actually, more often that not they collaborate with the terrorists!
The pusillanimous "solution" for Lebanon has been adopted. It turns southern Lebanon over to the UN, which will patrol it and keep the terrorists at bay. Sure they will. Especially when Hezbollah is part of the Lebanese Government and their army.
Fool us once, shame on you; fool us again, shame on us for not jailing the idiot politicians who would agree to such a "deal"!
It occurs to me that now would be as good a time as any to sum up everything that has been learned in the past few weeks about the Middle East conflict -- that is, everything the Israeli government and chattering classes refused to learn during the past two decades.
This article was compiled from several of Dr. Plaut's columns.
Steven Plaut is an American-trained economist,
a professor of business administration at Haifa University and author
of "The Scout." He frequently comments - both seriously and
satirically - on Israeli politics and the left wing academic
community. His website address is
www.stevenplaut.blogspot.com.
Contact him at splaut@econ.haifa.ac.il
HOME | July-August 2006 Featured Stories | Background Information | News On The Web |